How Many Monarchs This Winter?
Estimating the Size of the Monarch Population in Mexico

Millions of Monarchs in Mexico
Monarchs migrate to Mexico from across eastern North America. They cluster by the millions in just 12 mountain sanctuaries. The butterflies gather in one small region of Mexico. This gives scientists a chance to measure the size of the entire migratory population. How do you suppose scientists count so many butterflies?

Scientists Measure the Area Covered With Monarchs
It's impossible to count individual butterflies, so scientists measure the area of forest covered with monarchs. This picture shows a monarch colony from the air. The trees look orange because they are covered with butterflies! How large an area does this colony cover? Count the trees and estimate.

How Scientists Measure a Colony
Scientists walk through the forest and decide which trees have enough butterflies to be considered part of the colony. They mark the edge of the colony with flagging tape.

Measuring the Border of the Colony
Next the scientists walk around the border of the colony and measure the distance between all of the marked trees. They must visit and measure all 12 of the monarch wintering sites. Their goal is to calculate the total area of forest covered with butterflies.

Winter Round-Up
The scientists always measure the colonies in December or January. This is the coldest time of year, when the monarchs form their tightest clusters.

Take a Look at the Data from Mexico
This bar graph shows the data scientists have collected since 1994. It shows the estimated size of the monarch population in Mexico every year. The area covered in monarchs is measured in "hectares." One hectare is 2.47 acres, about the size of two and a half football fields. Can you find this year's data? How does it compare to other years? Why do you think it's important to collect and study population data every year?

Journey North Home Page   Facebook Pinterest Twitter   Annenberg Media Home Page
Copyright 1997-2015 Journey North. All Rights Reserved.   Contact Us    Search