• Overview
• Lessons
• The Demographic Transition
• - Step 1
• - Step 2
• - For Your Consideration
• Population Momentum
• - Step 1
• - Step 2
• - For Your Consideration
• Social Impacts
• - Step 1
• - Step 2
• - For Your Consideration
• HELP

Lessons > Social Impacts > Step 1

How does the population in a country like Egypt, where the culture promotes larger families with at least 2 children, become stabilized? Predict what the average death rate and the average birth rate would have to be in order for the Egyptian population to stabilize or achieve a 0% growth rate by 2050. Record your prediction and then run the simulator with varying parameters until you find a zero growth rate. Record your findings in the table and then answer the following:

1. How close was your prediction to the actual model parameters that gave you a 0% growth rate? What factors did you use to make your prediction?
2. What would Egypt have to do in order to reach a zero growth rate? What kinds of challenges might the Egyptian government face in trying to implement these measures?
3. How does Egypt's replacement level that would bring it to zero growth compare to that of the United States and to that of Mexico? What might account for the similarities/differences among the three?