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Re: probability puzzlesforwarding at the suggestion of Alison
Gale
----- Original Message -----
From: Alison Reid
To: Gale Greenlee
Sent: Tuesday, June 11, 2002 2:35 PM
Subject: Re: probability puzzles
Hi again Gale,
Actually, could your resend your post to channel-talkmissinglink@learner.org? Or if you'd like, I'll send it on for you, but if I do it will look like it's coming from my address instead of yours.
Interesting problem, by the way!
-Alison
Hello: I wanted to discuss the various methods used to solve the following puzzle. So to start the discussion I will present the puzzle and then discuss the solution with anyone who is interested. Here goes.
"Salesmen lie 4/7 of the time. We pick a tree in the forest, at random, and ask the salesmen (three of them) to tell us what kind of a tree it is. All three agree that it is an oak. The probability the tree is an oak is 9/73. What portion of the trees are oaks?"
Gale
----- Original Message -----
From: Alison Reid
To: Gale Greenlee
Sent: Tuesday, June 11, 2002 1:43 PM
Subject: Re: probability puzzles
Dear Gale,
Sure, go ahead! Anything of interest to math teachers is fine for this forum.
Sincerely,
Alison Reid
Channel-talkmissinglink Administrator
would it be appropriate to pose a question about a probability puzzle?
--
-----------------------------------
Alison Reid
Web Specialist
Harvard-Smithsonian CfA
60 Garden St., MS82
Cambridge, MA 02138
Tel: 617-496-7680
--
-----------------------------------
Alison Reid
Web Specialist
Harvard-Smithsonian CfA
60 Garden St., MS82
Cambridge, MA 02138
Tel: 617-496-7680
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